Turkey Monitor Week 24 Results Announced

Turkey Monitor Week 24 Results Announced

In the research carried out on the mobile panel, in 1067 interviews conducted with a 3 percent margin of error in the 95 percent confidence interval, the representative of Turkey gender, NUTS1 regional distribution, age, socioeconomic status and the quota for the 24 June 2018 parliamentary election were taken into account.

‘IF THIS MARKET IS A CHOICE?’

According to the results of the ‘Turkey Monitor’ research conducted by Aksoy Research; “If there was a parliamentary election this Sunday, which party would you vote for?” To the question, 14.3 percent of the participants stated that they were “indecisive”, “do not want to say it” and “do not intend to vote”. After the undecided votes were distributed in the results of the survey, the vote rate of the People’s Alliance was 39.8 percent. The Nation Alliance’s vote rate was 41.1 percent. The HDP’s vote rate, which is outside of both alliances, was announced as 9.6 percent.

The AK Party achieved the highest vote rate with 31.6 percent on the basis of the party. The vote rate of the MHP, the other partner of the People’s Alliance, was below the threshold with 8.2 percent. The party that received the second highest number of votes in the survey was the CHP with 27.5 percent. The CHP, the other component of the Nation Alliance, was followed by the IYI Party with 13.6 percent and, unlike the MHP, remained above the threshold. According to the results of the research, DEVA Party can get 2.9 percent, Future Party 2 percent and Felicity Party 1 percent.

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PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS

As part of the research, “Which alliance do you think will get more votes in a possible parliamentary election?” While 52.2 percent of the participants answered the question “Nation Alliance”, the rate of those who answered this question “People’s Alliance” remained at the level of 47.8 percent. 17.1 percent of the AK Party voters and 25.52 percent of the MHP voters shared the opinion that the Nation Alliance will get more votes in the parliamentary elections.

Şekil 2

VOTING ATTITUDES

In the Turkey Monitor survey, voting attitudes towards parties were asked. 54.9 percent of the respondents gave the answer “I will never vote” and “I will not vote” for the AK Party. When the same question was asked about the MHP, 60.1 percent of the respondents said “I would never vote” and “I would not vote”.  According to the results of the research, it was remarkable that the electorate in which the two components of the People’s Alliance could get votes was greatly narrowed.

Şekil 3

WAS THE PRESIDENTIAL SYSTEM USEFUL?

Participants of the research asked, “How useful do you think the presidential system that came with the referendum has been for Turkey?” While 55 percent answered the question “It was not useful at all” and “It was not useful”, the rate of those who said “It was very useful” and “It was useful” remained at the level of only 25.3 percent. While 25 percent of AK Party voters answered “it was not useful at all” and “not useful” for the presidential system, this rate was 38.2 percent for MHP voters. Among the voters of both political parties, which are the components of the People’s Alliance, the rate of those who share the opinion that the presidential system is “very useful” or “useful” remained below 50 percent.

Şekil 4

According to the results of the Turkey Monitor Survey, if the Presidential System referendum were held again today, 57.6 percent of the respondents stated that they would vote in favor of the Parliamentary system. The vote rate of those who insisted on the Presidential System was only 26.8 percent. 34.5 percent of the AK Party voters and 40.2 percent of the MHP voters said that if the same referendum were held today, I would vote for the “Parliamentary System”.

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PRESIDENT RECEP TAYYIP ERDOĞAN’S WORKING STYLE

In the Turkey Monitor Survey, do you approve of the way Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is performing his presidency when you think in general? questions were answered. While 50.5% of the respondents stated that they did not approve of President Erdoğan’s way of performing his duties, only 32.8% stated that they did. 16.7% of the participants answered that they are undecided.

While 65.7% of the AK Party voters approved of President Erdogan’s way of working, only 39.2 percent of the MHP voters, the other component of the People’s Alliance, expressed that they approved of President Erdogan’s style.

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ELECTION’S AGENDA “ECONOMY”

While you were the President of the Republic of Turkey, which ones would you work on first? 60 percent of the respondents answered “improving the economy”. The second option that received the most response was “solution of unemployment” with 55.4 percent. These options were followed by “cost of living” with 51 percent and “corruption” with 32 percent, respectively.

Şekil 7

In the Turkey Monitor survey, voters were asked which issues the parties bring to the agenda. Participants asked, “Which of the following do you think is more on the agenda of the AK Party?” “Kanal Istanbul” answered the question with 61.9% in the first place. Kanal Istanbul was followed by the response of “the closure of HDP” with 44 percent. According to the results of the research, there was a significant difference between the agenda of the public and the agenda of the AK Party.

Şekil 8

When the same question was asked about the CHP, 50 percent of the participants stated that the CHP’s first agenda was “early elections.” This was followed by “cost of living” with 45.4 percent and “solution of unemployment” with 41.3 percent. According to the results of the research, it was remarkable that there was a significant parallelism between the agenda of the public and the agenda of the CHP.

Şekil 9

“Which of the following do you think is most on the agenda of the MHP?” While the answer to the question was “Closing the HDP” with 56.4 percent, the answer was “Nationalism” in the second place. These were followed by “fight against terrorism” with 42.2 percent and “Canal Istanbul” with 36.1 percent. Based on the results of the research; The agenda of the two components of the People’s Alliance differs significantly from the public agenda.

Şekil 10

When asked the same question regarding the agenda of the IYI Party, 45.6 percent of the participants answered “cost of living” in the first place. The other most popular responses were “solving unemployment” with 44.5 percent and “early elections” with 39.2 percent. According to the results of the research, it is noteworthy that the agendas of CHP and IYI Party, which are two members of the Nation Alliance, are in parallel with the agenda of the public.

Şekil 11

According to the results of the Turkey Monitor research, “Which of the following do you think is most on the HDP’s agenda?” 51.4 percent of the participants answered the question “Kurdish problem”. This response was followed by the “closure of HDP” with 49.9 percent and “Human Rights” with 32 percent.

Şekil 12

The authority of the Presidency of Communications to access all the information it deems necessary about 83 million people

In the Turkey Monitor research conducted by Aksoy Research, it was asked how the public interprets the authority of the Presidency Communications Directorate, which is one of the most discussed topics, to reach the information it deems necessary about 83 million people. In this context, “The Constitutional Court (AYM) has approved the authority of the Presidency of Communications to access all the information it deems necessary regarding 83 million people from all public institutions and organizations. Which one reflects your view more on this decision?” 71.5 percent of the participants answered the question, “Giving this authority is against fundamental rights and freedoms”. The rate of those who said “There is no harm in granting this authority” remained at the level of only 28.5 percent. Another striking factor in the results of the research was that 55.2 percent of the AK Party voters and 64.7 percent of the MHP voters answered, “Giving this authority is against fundamental rights and freedoms.”

Şekil 13

EU MEMBERSHIP

As part of the research, “Do you support Turkey’s membership to the European Union?” While 57.5 percent of the participants answered the question “Yes, I support”, the rate of those who said “No, I do not support” was announced as 22 percent. The rate of those who said “I am undecided” was 20.5 percent. Another striking result of the research was that the support for EU membership was over 50 percent among all political party voters.

Şekil 14
Önceki Turkey Monitor 21. Week Results Announced
Sonraki Turkey Monitor Week 26 Results Announced

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